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Dead cat stimulus plan
Saturday, 24 January 2009
A 'dead cat bounce' is a rather unpleasant term used to describe a small, short-term recovery in a falling stock's price. Why?  Well, if a cat was dropped from the top of a tall building, it would bounce when it hit the ground -- but it wouldn't bounce much, and it would still be dead.  Source - Financial-Guide.net

    President Obama may be overdoing the conciliation thing if that is driving him and his economic team to include $300 billion in tax cuts as a major component of his stimulus plan.  Congress and President Bush were wrong and stupid to send us $1,000 checks last year when the stakes were not nearly as high as they are today.  Those checks stimulated nothing, and a tax break of $300 billion now would be a waste of money at best, and a further step down the ladder toward Depression at worst.
    Here is how tax relief checks will be spent.  Those having trouble
It is unpatriotic not to spend a tax break check, but what are strapped people supposed to do?

making their monthly house payments will use it for that purpose.  Those who have enough in the bank to cover their house costs will shove it into their kids' college education funds.  Those who feel threatened by the real possibility of job loss will take about a minute before they drive it over to their local FDIC-insured bank and deposit it as a security blanket.  The remaining 25 people in America might spend it at Nordstrom...or buy gold bars.
    We Americans had our chance to save, and we blew it through profligate spending, especially on homes many of us could not afford.  Now, however, it is almost unpatriotic to save, assuming you have enough discretionary money for that purpose.  The best way to stimulate the economy, almost all economists agree, is to spend, spend, spend, not save, save, save.
    Okay, if they really insist on giving us the tax break because it will
Give us all a government money card instead of a tax break check.  When we reach our limit on the card, we're done.

make Republicans feel better and the President can keep his promise, then give us all a government money card, good at retailers, food stores, the local donut shop, resorts...virtually anywhere it can be spent to keep people employed, except maybe at gas stations (don't want to encourage more money going to those terrorists).  We pay for stuff with the government charge card, and the bill goes directly to the Feds.  When we reach our limit on the card, we're done.  It will be fun along the way, and it will guarantee to stimulate the economy by a multiple of $300 billion, much better than a multiple of the measly few billion if we leave it up to a strapped citizenry.  We ought to have the technology to do this, and do it fast.
    I did not vote for President Obama because he promised to give all but the wealthy a tax cut.  I voted for him, and donated to his campaign, because I thought he was "that one" who is smart enough and tough enough to do whatever it takes to turn this dead cat economy around, even at the cost of a little political capital.
 
Obama, the chief justice and the oath itself were wrong
Thursday, 22 January 2009

    Lost in the embarrassment of the moment at President Obama's swearing in ceremony on Tuesday was the bad grammar in the oath itself.  When Justice Roberts shoved the word "faithfully" to the back of the sentence, the new President stumbled, understanding the word had been misplaced.  But the correction -- "I will faithfully execute the office..." -- violates every principle of language taught (or, once taught) in high school.  The adverb "faithfully" modifies the verb "execute" and, therefore, should come directly after the verb ("execute faithfully").

    President Obama is an excellent writer.  Let us hope that he can preserve, protect and defend the English language.

 

 
One way to address the housing mess
Thursday, 01 January 2009

    Salespeople in general are an optimistic, positive bunch.  A sunny disposition is a pre-requisite for selling success.  No one wants to buy anything from a grump.
    Real estate agents may be the most positive salespeople of all.  At a web site I frequent, the realtors who populate the site, Active Rain, pour a lot of treacle into their postings.  I haven't read the words "motherhood" or "apple pie" yet, but every other Pollyanna metaphor, including God and country, is there in profusion.
    The other night, though, a contributor who goes under the name Martin Titus cut through all the syrup and offered a refreshing slant on how to solve the housing crisis.  It's radical, but so are the problems in the market.  He believes that the only "equity" the U.S. has is our celebration and practice of freedom.  That is the reason, he argues, that people around the world will risk drowning, beatings and pay money they can hardly afford to come here.  Yet there are millions who can afford to live here who, given a smooth path to entry, would live in the U.S. for the freedoms we afford.  He believes, therefore, that we should open our borders to anyone who is willing to purchase a home in the U.S. for $400,000 or more and commit to stay in it and pay the mortgage for seven years.  That, he argued, should take a bite out of the massive inventory of unsold homes.

    I would have reprinted Mr. Titus' comments verbatim, but when I returned to the discussion after a day, his comment had been deleted, and all I found was the same old sugary jingoism.  Ironic, huh?

 
Nazdrovyeh, Sarah Palin
Wednesday, 31 December 2008
    According to the Wall Street Journal, a Russian professor and former KGB researcher is gaining global notoriety for predicting 10 years ago the disintegration of the United States in 2010.  Given the compelling problems that face the nation and President-elect Obama when he takes office January 20, Professor Igor Panarin's prediction is gaining traction in less than nutty circles.
    The professor predicted that rich states will rebel at paying the Federal government to take care of other states that have run into sizable financial problems, civil war will break out, and the four major regions of the country will become aligned with other nations.  The northeast quadrant of the U.S., for example, comprising Washington, D.C., the middle-Atlantic states and New England, will become part of the European Union.  The area from Texas to Florida and most of the surrounding states will affiliate with Mexico; the upper and central Midwest will go to Canada; and "the California Republic," comprising the western states, will come under the influence of China.  Hawaii will become a satellite of Japan or China.
    Perhaps the most ironic prediction by Professor Panarin, and the one many Sarah Palin detractors may be wishing for, is that Alaska will be subsumed by Russia.  The potential of Russian occupation of Wasilla and the rest of the oil rich state prompted one brilliant wag on the Journal web site to comment that, "The good news here is that Sarah Palin will be able to see Russia from both her porch and kitchen window!"

 
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